...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Aston Villa vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 10:00 AM ET as Leeds takes on Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Leeds game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Aston Villa vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Leeds 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 54.5% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 22.2% chance for Leeds, and a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Aston Villa vs. Leeds odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Aston Villa | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +320 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aston Villa | -115 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aston Villa vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AVL 1-1 Leeds | 11% |
| AVL 1-0 Leeds | 10.5% |
| AVL 2-1 Leeds | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Aston Villa vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Aston Villa and Leeds at Villa Park is scheduled to start in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Leeds
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans at the moment as excitement grows as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Aaronson's form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 54.5% win probability on Saturday, Leeds has a 22.2% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aston Villa vs. Leeds insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure