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Dream vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 16 points in Tuesday's WNBA game [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Dallas Wings will take on the Atlanta Dream in WNBA action at College Park Center on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner of the Dream vs. Wings game.
The Wings, who have the likes of Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, will face off against the Dream, whose lineup includes Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.
Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 16 points and 1 three.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Dream vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Dream and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Dream a 77% chance of defeating the Wings.
According to our model, the Dream (-2.5) have a 69% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 68% chance of staying under.
Dream vs. Wings odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dream | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -140 | +120 |
| Total | o181.5 (-110) | u181.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dream vs. Wings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dream -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -140 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dream vs. Wings player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Dream vs. Wings game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 19 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Dream prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Rhyne Howard | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 39 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 44 |
| Naz Hillmon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Jordin Canada | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 31 |
Wings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 31 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 |
| Odyssey Sims | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| Azzi Fudd | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Dream vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Wings and Dream at College Park Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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