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Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Atlanta United vs New England Revolution predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Atlanta and New England will lock horns in MLS action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 7:45 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Atlanta as the most likely winner of the Atlanta vs. New England game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between Atlanta and New England, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 39.9% chance of Atlanta winning, a 35.1% chance for New England, and a 25.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atlanta | New England | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +155 | +175 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -106 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta | +155 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -106 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATL 1-1 NER | 11.8% |
| ATL 2-1 NER | 8.7% |
| ATL 1-0 NER | 8.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between Atlanta and New England in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:45 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta United vs. New England Revolution
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 7:45 PM ET/4:45PM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlanta has a 39.9% win probability on Wednesday, New England has a 35.1% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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