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Ball State vs. Toledo prediction: Why Toledo is favored to win Week 13 MACtion clash
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Ball State vs Toledo predictions for college football Saturday.
Toledo and Ball State will meet in Week 13 college football action at Glass Bowl on Saturday, starting at 2:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Toledo as the most likely winner of the Ball State vs. Toledo game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ball State vs. Toledo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Ball State vs. Toledo 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Toledo a 98% chance of defeating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Toledo winning 37-8.
According to our model, Toledo (-28.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Ball State vs. Toledo odds
We have researched the best College Football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ball State | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +28.5 (-110) | -28.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +3300 | -8000 |
| Total | o45.5 (-108) | u45.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ball State vs. Toledo picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo -28.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Toledo | -8000 |
| Total | Over 45.5 | -108 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toledo to win.
Ball State vs. Toledo game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's college football game between Toledo and Ball State at Glass Bowl is scheduled to start at 2:00PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Toledo
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Glass Bowl
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Conclusion
We predict Toledo, with a 98% win probability, will likely beat Ball State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ball State vs. Toledo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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