New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 game between New Zealand and Belgium, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 6.2% chance of New Zealand winning, an 81.2% chance for Belgium, and a 12.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 56.5% chance of staying under, with a 55.9% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Belgium holds a 49.4% probability to win without conceding, with New Zealand at 3.1%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Belgium to win or draw at 93.8%.

Belgium vs. New Zealand odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

New Zealand	Belgium	Draw
+1300	-500	+675

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
-124	+105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New Zealand vs. Belgium picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Belgium @ +675 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ +105 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Belgium @ +105 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: New Zealand or Draw @ +410 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 3.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Belgium win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
New Zealand 0-2 Belgium	12.8%
New Zealand 0-3 Belgium	11.7%
New Zealand 0-1 Belgium	9.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 55.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

New Zealand vs. Belgium player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in New Zealand-Belgium:

New Zealand

• Chris Wood: 17.7% probability
• Elijah Just: 10.1% probability
• Callum McCowatt: 9.8% probability
• Sarpreet Singh: 9.0% probability
• Liberato Cacace: 5.0% probability

Belgium

• Charles De Ketelaere: 39.1% probability
• Kevin De Bruyne: 36.2% probability
• Leandro Trossard: 32.1% probability
• Alexis Saelemaekers: 23.6% probability
• Maxim De Cuyper: 20.4% probability

New Zealand vs. Belgium game-day updates and essential details

Friday's soccer World Cup action between New Zealand and Belgium at BC Place is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: New Zealand vs. Belgium
• Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: BC Place

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, New Zealand has a 6.2% win probability on Friday, Belgium has an 81.2% win probability, and there is a 12.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.