World Cup bets today: Six group stage picks for Friday ft. Belgium vs. New Zealand [6/26/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get soccer World Cup picks today and best bets for Friday, June 26, 2026.

World Cup Best Bets.
These World Cup betting picks for June 26, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Friday's games.

Today’s World Cup betting tips for June 26, 2026 are here, with Belgium vs. New Zealand among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s group stage action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest soccer odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of soccer World Cup picks today [6/26, updated 4:16AM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best World Cup bets, ranked by edge for Friday, June 26, 2026.

Belgium vs. New Zealand Under 3.5 goals (-110)

Our model has identified value on Under 3.5 goals in Belgium vs. New Zealand at -110 odds. A 60.3% probability produces an edge of 7.9%, making this the strongest play for today's World Cup slate.

 

Belgium vs. New Zealand BTTS: No (-126)

Both Belgium and New Zealand to score (No) carries a 4.6% edge and a probability of 60.4% at -126 odds, according to our model.

 

Iran ML (+290)

Iran ML at +290 odds shows a 3.8% edge, supported by a 29.5% probability in simulations.

 

Iraq vs. Senegal under 3.5 goals (-155)

A 2.3% edge and 63.1% probability make Iraq vs. Senegal under 3.5 goals a value play in the Iraq vs. Senegal matchup, per our model.

 

Iran vs. Egypt BTTS: No (-130)

Both Iran and Egypt to score (No) at -130 odds presents a 2.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.6%.

 

(-105)

Our model finds value on Belgium to win at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 2.0%.

 

World Cup group stage best bets summary: Friday, 6/26/2026

As of 4:16AM ET, here are our top World Cup bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Belgium vs. New Zealand Under 3.5 goals -110 @ FanDuel 7.9% 60.3%
Belgium vs. New Zealand BTTS (No) -126 @ FanDuel 4.6% 60.4%
Iran vs. Egypt Iran ML +290 @ BetRivers 3.8% 29.5%
Iraq vs. Senegal Under 3.5 goals -155 @ DraftKings 2.3% 63.1%
Iran vs. Egypt BTTS (No) -130 @ DraftKings 2.1% 58.6%
Belgium vs. New Zealand BTTS (No) -105 @ ESPN BET 2.0% 53.2%
 

List of upcoming World Cup games to bet on [6/26/2026]

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Conclusion

Our World Cup best bets are locked and loaded for June 26, 2026, featuring plays such as under 3.5 goals in the Belgium vs. New Zealand matchup and Belgium and New Zealand to both score (No). Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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