Norway vs. France prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Norway and France, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 19.5% chance of Norway winning, a 60.0% chance for France, and a 20.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 59.2% chance of staying under, with a 59.5% probability that both teams score. In the win to nil market, France holds a 28.5% probability to win without conceding, with Norway at 8.1%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 80.5%.

France vs. Norway odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Norway	France	Draw
+380	-150	+360

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+130	-152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Norway vs. France picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: France @ -150 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -152 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: France @ +220 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Norway or Draw @ +130 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +145 via DraftKings

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is France to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on France's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Norway vs. France: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 France win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Norway 1-2 France	9.8%
Norway 1-1 France	9.3%
Norway 0-2 France	8.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.5% chance of both Norway and France finding the net and a 40.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Norway vs. France player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Norway-France:

Norway

• Jorgen Larsen: 23.2% probability
• Andreas Schjelderup: 15.5% probability
• Oscar Bobb: 15.0% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 10.4% probability
• Patrick Berg: 7.9% probability

France

• Kylian Mbappe: 43.9% probability
• Ousmane Dembele: 24.6% probability
• Michael Olise: 22.9% probability
• Desire Doue: 22.0% probability
• Manu Kone: 8.7% probability

Norway vs. France game-day updates and essential details

Friday's FIFA World Cup action between Norway and France at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Norway vs. France
• Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Norway has a 19.5% win probability on Friday, France has a 60.0% win probability, and there is a 20.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.