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Bruins vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Boston Bruins vs Montreal Canadiens predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Montreal Canadiens and Boston Bruins will meet in the NHL at Bell Centre on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Canadiens as the most likely winner of the Bruins vs. Canadiens game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Bruins vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Bruins and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Canadiens a 57% chance of beating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Bruins vs. Canadiens odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bruins | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -160 |
| Total | o6.5 (+102) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bruins vs. Canadiens picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Bruins +1.5 | -185 |
| Moneyline | Bruins | +136 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bruins to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bruins vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Bruins vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Bruins vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 44.3% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is a 9.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 44.3% |
| Morgan Geekie | 35.7% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 25.4% |
| Pavel Zacha | 22.5% |
| Elias Lindholm | 20.8% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 40.5% |
| Nick Suzuki | 31.0% |
| Ivan Demidov | 27.4% |
| Alex Newhook | 25.9% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 24.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 9.5% |
| Morgan Geekie | 6.7% |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 4.7% |
| Fraser Minten | 3.7% |
| Pavel Zacha | 3.6% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 7.1% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.9% |
| Alexandre Texier | 4.6% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.6% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.5% |
Bruins vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Canadiens and Bruins at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Bruins vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bruins vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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