Jun 18, 2026
Tennis bets today: Seven picks for Thursday ft. Zverev vs. Hanfmann [6/18/2026]
Read Article Brandon Nakashima vs. Roberto Bautista Agut prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Nakashima vs Bautista Agut predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Brandon Nakashima will square off with Roberto Bautista Agut in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Brandon Nakashima as the most likely winner of the Nakashima vs. Bautista Agut match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Nakashima vs. Bautista Agut prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Nakashima-Bautista Agut men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Nakashima a 60% chance of beating Bautista Agut at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Nakashima has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Brandon Nakashima vs. Roberto Bautista Agut odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nakashima | Bautista Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -189 | +162 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-120) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-116) | u22.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nakashima vs. Bautista Agut picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bautista Agut | +162 |
| First Set | Bautista Agut | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Roberto Bautista Agut to win.
Although Bautista Agut is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nakashima vs. Bautista Agut updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Brandon Nakashima and Roberto Bautista Agut is scheduled to start on Saturday at 10:10 AM ET.
- Who: Brandon Nakashima vs. Roberto Bautista Agut
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:10 AM ET/7:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Brandon Nakashima, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Roberto Bautista Agut at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
