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Brighton vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/4/2026]
Get Brighton vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Wednesday.

Premier League action continues on Wednesday at 2:30 PM ET as Arsenal squares off with Brighton at Amex Stadium.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of the Brighton vs. Arsenal game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Brighton vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Premier League match between Brighton and Arsenal 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 17.5% chance of Brighton winning, a 60.4% chance for Arsenal, and a 22.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Brighton vs. Arsenal odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Brighton | Arsenal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +425 | -145 | +285 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -114 | -106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brighton vs. Arsenal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arsenal | -145 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -114 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Arsenal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brighton vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BRI 0-1 ARS | 11.7% |
| BRI 0-2 ARS | 11% |
| BRI 1-1 ARS | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 49.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Brighton vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's Premier League action between Brighton and Arsenal at Amex Stadium is scheduled to commence in the USA at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Brighton vs. Arsenal
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Amex Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Brighton has a 17.5% win probability on Wednesday, Arsenal has a 60.4% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Brighton vs. Arsenal insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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