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Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 3 matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for NRL Friday.
NRL action continues on Friday at 5:00 AM ET as the Brisbane Broncos take on the Melbourne Storm at AAMI Park.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Broncos vs. Storm game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Storm vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Broncos and Storm 10,000 times as part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Storm a 77% chance of beating the Broncos.
According to our model, the Storm (-8.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 59% chance of staying under.
Broncos vs. Storm odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +220 | -294 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Total | o54.5 (-110) | u54.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -8.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in-294 |
| Total | Under 54.5 | -115 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 54.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league game between the Storm and Broncos at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Venue: AAMI Park
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Storm insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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