Sabres vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [1/27/2026]

The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Buffalo Sabres, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Maple Leafs a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Sabres.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Sabres vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Sabres and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of defeating the Sabres.

According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sabres	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-245)	-1.5 (+200)
Moneyline	-102	-118
Total	o6.5 (-118)	u6.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Sabres +1.5	-245
Moneyline	Sabres	-102
Total	Under 6.5	-102

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Sabres vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sabres vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 48.2% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 10.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	40.5%
Alex Tuch	31.1%
Jason Zucker	24.6%
Zach Benson	20.7%
Rasmus Dahlin	20.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	48.2%
John Tavares	32.9%
Matthew Knies	29.7%
Bobby McMann	28.7%
Matias Maccelli	21.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Buffalo Sabres

Player	First Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	8.7%
Alex Tuch	5.5%
Jason Zucker	4.0%
Zach Benson	3.5%
Ryan McLeod	3.5%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.2%
John Tavares	6.2%
Matthew Knies	5.3%
Bobby McMann	4.8%
Matias Maccelli	4.0%

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Maple Leafs and Sabres at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabres vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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