May 20, 2026
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Read Article Burnley vs. Wolves prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Burnley vs Wolves predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Burnley will square off with Wolves in Premier League Final Day action at Turf Moor on Sunday, starting at 11:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Burnley as the most likely winner of the Burnley vs. Wolves game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Burnley vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Burnley and Wolves, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 41.6% chance of Burnley winning, a 32.9% chance for Wolves, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Burnley vs. Wolves odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Burnley | Wolves | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +135 | +190 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Burnley vs. Wolves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +135 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Burnley vs. Wolves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| BUR 1-1 WOL | 12% |
| BUR 1-0 WOL | 9.4% |
| BUR 2-1 WOL | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Burnley vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Burnley and Wolves at Turf Moor is scheduled to begin in the USA at 11:00 AM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Burnley has a 41.6% win probability on Sunday, Wolves have a 32.9% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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