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Flames vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Dallas Stars will take on the Calgary Flames in NHL action at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flames vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Stars a 66% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Flames vs. Stars odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | +210 | -250 |
| Total | o5.5 (-124) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flames vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -122 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +210 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flames vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Stars?
According to our model, Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 41.7% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 23.0% |
| Morgan Frost | 22.2% |
| Blake Coleman | 21.3% |
| Matthew Coronato | 21.2% |
| Victor Olofsson | 20.2% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 41.7% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 39.1% |
| Jason Robertson | 38.7% |
| Matt Duchene | 28.2% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 23.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.4% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.2% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.1% |
| Morgan Frost | 3.9% |
| Victor Olofsson | 3.8% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 9.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.0% |
| Jason Robertson | 7.9% |
| Matt Duchene | 5.7% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 4.1% |
Flames vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Stars and Flames at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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