Flames vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/10/2026]

NHL action continues on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET as the Calgary Flames lock horns with the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Penguins game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flames vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 57% chance of beating the Flames.

According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53% chance of going over.

Flames vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flames	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-190)	-1.5 (+160)
Moneyline	+126	-148
Total	o6 (-118)	u6 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flames vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flames +1.5	-190
Moneyline	Flames	+126
Total	Over 6	-118

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

Flames vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Crosby a 35.0% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nazem Kadri	27.0%
Yegor Sharangovich	25.2%
Matthew Coronato	23.2%
Blake Coleman	21.2%
Jonathan Huberdeau	20.4%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	35.0%
Rickard Rakell	30.9%
Evgeni Malkin	25.7%
Thomas Novak	22.8%
Justin Brazeau	20.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	First Goal Probability
Nazem Kadri	5.1%
Yegor Sharangovich	5.0%
Matthew Coronato	4.0%
Blake Coleman	4.0%
Mikael Backlund	3.7%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	7.4%
Rickard Rakell	5.9%
Evgeni Malkin	4.9%
Thomas Novak	4.0%
Kevin Hayes	3.5%

Flames vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Penguins and Flames at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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