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Flames vs. Kraken prediction: Seattle favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Seattle Kraken will face the Calgary Flames, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Climate Pledge Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Kraken a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Flames.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Flames vs. Kraken matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flames vs. Kraken prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Kraken, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Kraken a 54% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Flames vs. Kraken odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+184) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -125 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flames vs. Kraken picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Kraken | -125 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -106 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flames vs. Kraken player props
Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Kraken?
According to our model, Bobby McMann is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Kraken.
Our projections give McMann a 31.8% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 7.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 24.4% |
| Morgan Frost | 23.8% |
| Matthew Coronato | 22.4% |
| Blake Coleman | 21.9% |
| Victor Olofsson | 20.1% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 31.8% |
| Jared McCann | 26.4% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 25.5% |
| Matty Beniers | 24.8% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 24.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.1% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.2% |
| Morgan Frost | 4.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 3.7% |
| Victor Olofsson | 3.6% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 7.2% |
| Jared McCann | 5.2% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 4.8% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 4.7% |
| Matty Beniers | 4.6% |
Flames vs. Kraken game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Kraken and Flames at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Kraken, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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