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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Ugo Carabelli vs Cobolli predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Flavio Cobolli will lock horns in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Flavio Cobolli as the most likely winner of the Ugo Carabelli vs. Cobolli match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Cobolli prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Ugo Carabelli-Cobolli men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Cobolli a 66% chance of beating Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Cobolli has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ugo Carabelli (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Flavio Cobolli odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ugo Carabelli | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +202 | -227 |
| First Set | +162 | -200 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-112) | -3.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Cobolli picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | +202 |
| First Set | Cobolli | -135 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
Although Ugo Carabelli is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Cobolli updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Flavio Cobolli is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 10:10 AM ET.
- Who: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Flavio Cobolli
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:10 AM ET/7:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Flavio Cobolli, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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