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Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders prediction: Raiders favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 5 matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Newcastle Knights will face the Canberra Raiders in National Rugby League (NRL) action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:05 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Raiders as the most likely winner of the Raiders vs. Knights game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Knights vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win Round 5 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL game between the Raiders and Knights, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Raiders a 67% chance of beating the Knights.
According to our model, the Raiders (-3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Raiders vs. Knights odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raiders | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -167 | +132 |
| Line (Spread) | -3.5 (-120) | +3.5 (-105) |
| Total | o47.5 (-114) | u47.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raiders vs. Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders -3.5 | bet_rivers_in-120 |
| Moneyline | Raiders | bet_rivers_in-167 |
| Total | Under 47.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knights vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:05 AM ET.
- Who: Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
- Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Raiders, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Knights on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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