Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2025

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will meet in the final of the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Alcaraz vs. Sinner match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Alcaraz vs. Sinner prediction: Who will win the final?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Alcaraz-Sinner men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Sinner a 58% chance of defeating Alcaraz at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.

Additionally, Sinner has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Alcaraz (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alcaraz vs. Sinner picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Carlos Alcaraz to win.

Alcaraz vs. Sinner updates and essential details

The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 12:00PM ET.

• Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Approx. Time: 12:00PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Final

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Carlos Alcaraz at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alcaraz vs. Sinner insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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