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Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest predictions for Premier League Monday.
Chelsea and Nottingham Forest will meet in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge on Monday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 62.0% chance of Chelsea winning, a 17.6% chance for Nottingham Forest, and a 20.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Nottingham Forest | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -140 | +400 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -150 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | -140 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -150 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 2-1 NFO | 9.9% |
| CHE 2-0 NFO | 9.7% |
| CHE 1-1 NFO | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League action between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 62.0% win probability on Monday, Nottingham Forest has a 17.6% win probability, and there is a 20.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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