Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/4/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest predictions for Premier League Monday.

Chelsea-Nottingham Forest Predictions and Game Preview.
Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest Premier League prediction for Monday, May 4, 2026.

Chelsea will take on Nottingham Forest in Premier League action at Stamford Bridge on Monday, commencing at 10:00 AM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 66.2% chance of Chelsea winning, a 14.7% chance for Nottingham Forest, and a 19.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Chelsea Nottingham Forest Draw
-235 +650 +400

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-163 +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Nottingham Forest +650
Total Goals Over 2.5 -163

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nottingham Forest to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Chelsea win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
CHE 2-0 NFO 10.5%
CHE 2-1 NFO 9.8%
CHE 1-0 NFO 9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Chelsea vs. Nottingham Forest game-day updates and essential details

Monday's Premier League game between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 66.2% win probability on Monday, Nottingham Forest has a 14.7% win probability, and there is a 19.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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