May 17, 2026
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Read Article Chelsea vs. Tottenham prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Tottenham predictions for Premier League Tuesday.
Chelsea will take on Tottenham in Premier League action at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, starting at 3:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Tottenham game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Tottenham prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Tottenham, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 54.2% chance of Chelsea winning, a 23.8% chance for Tottenham, and a 22.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Tottenham odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Tottenham | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +260 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -163 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Tottenham picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | +105 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -163 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chelsea vs. Tottenham: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 1-1 TOT | 10% |
| CHE 2-1 TOT | 9.7% |
| CHE 1-0 TOT | 8.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 39.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Chelsea vs. Tottenham game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's Premier League action between Chelsea and Tottenham at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:15 PM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Tottenham
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Time: 3:15 PM ET/12:15PM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 54.2% win probability on Tuesday, Tottenham has a 23.8% win probability, and there is a 22.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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