Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Chicago Blackhawks lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Blackhawks and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 63% chance of defeating the Blackhawks.

According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Blackhawks	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-150)	-1.5 (+130)
Moneyline	+170	-200
Total	o5.5 (-118)	u5.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs -1.5	+130
Moneyline	Blackhawks	+170
Total	Over 5.5	-118

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 45.2% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 9.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tyler Bertuzzi	34.8%
Frank Nazar	26.0%
Ryan Donato	25.3%
Ilya Mikheyev	23.4%
Teuvo Teravainen	21.7%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	45.2%
William Nylander	37.7%
John Tavares	37.3%
Matthew Knies	28.8%
Bobby McMann	19.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

Player	First Goal Probability
Tyler Bertuzzi	6.5%
Ryan Donato	4.6%
Frank Nazar	4.5%
Ilya Mikheyev	4.2%
Teuvo Teravainen	4.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.9%
William Nylander	7.7%
John Tavares	7.6%
Matthew Knies	5.2%
Bobby McMann	3.2%

Hawks vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Maple Leafs and Blackhawks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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