College football picks today: Week 15 Friday best bets include UNLV vs. Boise State play [12/5/2025]

UNLV vs. Boise State over 58.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: UNLV vs. Boise State (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on over 58.5 points in UNLV vs. Boise State at -105 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 6.9%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Jacksonville State ML (+116)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Matchup: Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Jacksonville State ML carries a 4.1% edge and a probability of 50.4% at +116 odds, according to our model.

Tulane ML (+115)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Tulane (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Tulane ML at +115 odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 49.5% probability in simulations.

North Texas vs. Tulane over 66.5 points (-112)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Tulane (8:00PM ET, Friday)

A 2.7% edge and 55.5% probability make North Texas vs. Tulane over 66.5 points at a value play in the North Texas vs. Tulane matchup, per our model.

Tulane +2.5 (-108)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Tulane (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Tulane +2.5 at -108 odds presents a 2.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.3%.

UNLV ML (+180)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 37.9%
• Matchup: UNLV vs. Boise State (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on UNLV to win at +180 odds, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

NCAAF best bets summary: Friday, 12/5/2025

As of 12:32AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
UNLV vs. Boise State	Over 58.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	6.9%	58.2%
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State ML	+116 @ FanDuel	4.1%	50.4%
North Texas vs. Tulane	Tulane ML	+115 @ BetMGM	3.0%	49.5%
North Texas vs. Tulane	Over 66.5 Points	-112 @ DraftKings	2.7%	55.5%
North Texas vs. Tulane	Tulane +2.5	-108 @ DraftKings	2.4%	54.3%
UNLV vs. Boise State	UNLV ML	+180 @ DraftKings	2.2%	37.9%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Troy vs. James Madison (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• North Texas vs. Tulane (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• UNLV vs. Boise State (8:00PM ET, Friday)

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 5, 2025, featuring plays such as over 58.5 points in the UNLV vs. Boise State matchup and Jacksonville State ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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