College football picks today: Week 16 Saturday best bets include South Dakota vs. Montana play [12/13/2025]

Today’s college football picks for December 13, 2025 are here, with South Dakota vs. Montana and Illinois State vs. UC Davis among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s college football schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest football odds to uncover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of college football picks today [12/13, updated 3:03PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best college football bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, December 13, 2025.

South Dakota ML (+275)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 36.4%
• Matchup: South Dakota vs. Montana (3:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on South Dakota to defeat Montana at +275 odds. A 36.4% probability produces an edge of 9.7%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Illinois State ML (+134)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Matchup: Illinois State vs. UC Davis (5:00PM ET, Saturday)

Illinois State ML carries an 8.2% edge and a probability of 50.9% at +134 odds, according to our model.

South Dakota +8.5 (-110)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: South Dakota vs. Montana (3:30PM ET, Saturday)

South Dakota +8.5 vs. Montana at -110 odds shows a 7.1% edge, supported by a 59.5% probability in simulations.

Boise State ML (+290)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 32.7%
• Matchup: LA Bowl (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 7.0% edge and 32.7% probability make Boise State at the moneyline at a value play in the Boise State vs. Washington matchup, per our model.

Boise State +9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: LA Bowl (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Boise State +9.5 at -105 odds presents a 6.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.8%.

Illinois State +3.5 (-118)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Matchup: Illinois State vs. UC Davis (5:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Illinois State +3.5 at -118 odds, supported by an edge of 6.3%.

South Dakota vs. Montana under 59.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Matchup: South Dakota vs. Montana (3:30PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on South Dakota vs. Montana under 59.5 points at -110 odds. A 58.3% probability produces a 5.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Boise State vs. Washington over 52.5 points (-115)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Matchup: LA Bowl (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 4.8% edge on a 58.3% probability makes over 52.5 points at -115 odds a solid value play in today's Boise State vs. Washington matchup.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 12/13/2025

As of 3:03PM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
South Dakota vs. Montana	South Dakota ML	+275 @ DraftKings	9.7%	36.4%
Illinois State vs. UC Davis	Illinois State ML	+134 @ FanDuel	8.2%	50.9%
South Dakota vs. Montana	South Dakota +8.5	-110 @ DraftKings	7.1%	59.5%
Boise State vs. Washington	Boise State ML	+290 @ BetMGM	7.0%	32.7%
Boise State vs. Washington	Boise State +9.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.6%	57.8%
Illinois State vs. UC Davis	Illinois State +3.5	-118 @ FanDuel	6.3%	60.4%
South Dakota vs. Montana	Under 59.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	5.9%	58.3%
Boise State vs. Washington	Over 52.5 Points	-115 @ BetMGM	4.8%	58.3%

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• South Dakota vs. Montana (3:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Illinois State vs. UC Davis (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Boise State vs. Washington (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

More college football betting

For further insights into this week's NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for December 13, 2025, featuring plays such as South Dakota ML and Illinois State ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college football insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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