College Football Playoff First Round Picks and Parlay: Three bets and +585 odds parlay on Saturday, December 19

The first round of the College Football Playoff continues on Saturday, December 19 with three matchups - Texas A&M vs. Miami, Ole Miss vs. Tulane, and Oregon vs. James Madison - and we're rolling our top college football best bet in each game into a +585 playoff parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook.

This college football parlay pulls one bet from each first-round matchup on Saturday, combining High Value edges, strong win probabilities, and our brand-new Sweet Spot signal.

Each leg has been identified with an edge against the sportsbook odds and we're also putting Dimers’ brand-new Sweet Spot Signal front and center.

The Sweet Spot is Dimers’ newest signal, designed to surface wagers that beat the sportsbook over time by zeroing in on profitable historical results across Dimers' recommended bets. In these high-leverage games of the season, it helps cut through the noise and spotlight where true value exists.

While all three of these bets present clear value on their own and would be recommended straight wagers, those looking for a college football parlay can bet this at +585 odds.

+585 College Football Playoff Picks

Bet: Texas A&M -3 vs. Miami (-118 on DraftKings)

In the first game of the day, the Dimers model identifies big value on Texas A&M to cover -3.5 points vs. Miami with a 54.8% probability.

However, bettors looking to play the parlay can get this line even shorter at -3 on DraftKings, giving us an even higher probability.

Though the Aggies lost vs. Texas in rivalry week, they are in a big spot to bounce back against a Miami team that didn't play a particularly strong schedule this year and struggled in ACC play.

Miami QB Carson Beck has historically struggled on the road and will have to step up to keep things close in Kyle Field.

The Dimers model's projected final score, the average of all simulations, is 28-23 in favor of Texas A&M who should roll their way to the second round.

Bet: Ole Miss vs. Tulane over 57.5 (-108 on DraftKings)

The second game of the day contains what profiles as the best bet of the whole day, getting both a High Value edge of 5.7% and the new Sweet Spot signal, identifying a profitable ROI of 2.5% across 133 similar bets in this edge range.

This bet also gets the highest probability of these three picks, hitting every key datapoint we look for.

While Ole Miss will be without head coach Lane Kiffin, who's departed for LSU, this is a familiar spot for the Rebels who beat the Green Wave 45-10 back in September and the offense should roll comfortably after averaging over 37 points per game this season.

Bet: Oregon vs. James Madison under 46.5 (-108 on DraftKings)

In the final playoff game on Saturday, we're turning our attention to a High Value under identified by the Dimers model in Oregon vs. JMU, with a 56.5% probability this game goes under the 46.5-point total.

JMU is a big 20.5-point underdog in this game, but the bigger story is two top-ranked defenses in the nation facing off with Oregon allowing just 15.0 points per game and JMU allowing 16.3 points per game, ranked 8th and 11th-highest in the nation, respectively.

However, despite JMU's high offensive output this year, the talent gap is vast between these two teams.

James Madison still enters as the biggest underdog in the CFB Playoff's brief history, suggesting that even if the Dukes limit the Ducks' offensive ceiling, they will struggle to keep pace with scoring of their own.

+585 odds College Football playoff parlay

As mentioned, all three of these picks are recommended as standalone bets to make according to our model, but if you're willing to accept the increased risk of a parlay bet, then these picks have the potential to return nearly a 6/1 payout on your stake.

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