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Avalanche vs. Flames prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Calgary Flames will square off with the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Flames game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 59% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 56% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Flames odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+164) | +1.5 (-172) |
| Moneyline | -155 | +142 |
| Total | o6.5 (-110) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -172 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +142 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Flames?
According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Flames.
Our projections give Necas a 45.1% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 45.1% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 40.5% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 33.0% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 32.8% |
| Ross Colton | 21.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 26.6% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 24.2% |
| Blake Coleman | 22.2% |
| Victor Olofsson | 21.8% |
| Mikael Backlund | 21.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 9.4% |
| Martin Necas | 9.3% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 6.5% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 6.3% |
| Ross Colton | 4.1% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 5.0% |
| Victor Olofsson | 4.6% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.6% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.0% |
| Mikael Backlund | 3.9% |
Avs vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Flames and Avalanche at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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