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Avalanche vs. Kings prediction: Colorado favored to win Game 4 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Los Angeles Kings predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Los Angeles Kings and Colorado Avalanche will lock horns in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Kings Game 4 matchup.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Kings prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Avalanche and Kings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 59% chance of beating the Kings in Game 4 of the series.
According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Avalanche vs. Kings Game 4 odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+154) | +1.5 (-175) |
| Moneyline | -166 | +145 |
| Total | o5.5 (-102) | u5.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Kings picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kings +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +145 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Kings player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Kings?
According to our model, Adrian Kempe is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Kings.
Our projections give Kempe a 32.8% chance of scoring a goal at Crypto.com Arena, while the star is a 7.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 31.5% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 31.5% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 26.4% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 23.7% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 23.1% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 32.8% |
| Artemi Panarin | 31.4% |
| Quinton Byfield | 27.7% |
| Alex Laferriere | 26.0% |
| Trevor Moore | 19.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 6.5% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 5.6% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.5% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 4.5% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 4.5% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 7.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 6.2% |
| Quinton Byfield | 6.0% |
| Alex Laferriere | 4.9% |
| Trevor Moore | 3.9% |
Avs vs. Kings Game 4 updates and essential details
Sunday's Game 4 between the Kings and Avalanche in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Los Angeles Kings
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Avalanche and Kings, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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