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Avalanche vs. Senators prediction: Colorado favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [1/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators predictions for NHL Wednesday.
NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET as the Colorado Avalanche take on the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Senators game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Avalanche and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 58% chance of beating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Senators odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+158) | +1.5 (-185) |
| Moneyline | -146 | +125 |
| Total | o6.5 (-125) | u6.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Senators picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Avalanche -1.5 | +158 |
| Moneyline | Avalanche | -146 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Avalanche vs. Senators player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Senators?
According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Senators.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 43.0% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 9.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 43.0% |
| Brock Nelson | 39.0% |
| Martin Necas | 35.1% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 29.2% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 28.0% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 33.5% |
| Tim Stutzle | 29.1% |
| Drake Batherson | 24.0% |
| Shane Pinto | 22.7% |
| Dylan Cozens | 21.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 9.4% |
| Brock Nelson | 7.8% |
| Martin Necas | 6.2% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.9% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 5.0% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.6% |
| Tim Stutzle | 5.3% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.3% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.1% |
| Dylan Cozens | 3.8% |
Avs vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Senators and Avalanche at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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