Avalanche vs. Penguins prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Penguins game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Avs vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 58% chance of beating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Avalanche vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Avalanche	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+145)	+1.5 (-170)
Moneyline	-164	+145
Total	o6.5 (-112)	u6.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Avalanche vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-170
Moneyline	Penguins	+145
Total	Under 6.5	+105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Avalanche vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Necas a 36.2% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Martin Necas	36.2%
Nathan MacKinnon	31.5%
Valeri Nichushkin	30.1%
Brock Nelson	30.1%
Gabriel Landeskog	27.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	29.2%
Sidney Crosby	28.3%
Rickard Rakell	26.9%
Yegor Chinakhov	25.8%
Anthony Mantha	24.8%

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Martin Necas	7.0%
Nathan MacKinnon	6.0%
Valeri Nichushkin	5.7%
Brock Nelson	5.2%
Cale Makar	5.0%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	5.4%
Rickard Rakell	5.3%
Sidney Crosby	5.2%
Yegor Chinakhov	4.7%
Anthony Mantha	4.6%

Avs vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Penguins and Avalanche at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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