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Corentin Moutet vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for ATP Barcelona Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Moutet vs Musetti predictions for ATP Barcelona Open.
Corentin Moutet will face Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 16 at the ATP Barcelona event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Moutet vs. Musetti match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Moutet vs. Musetti prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Moutet-Musetti men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Musetti a 75% chance of beating Moutet at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additionally, Musetti has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Moutet (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Corentin Moutet vs. Lorenzo Musetti odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +300 | -342 |
| First Set | +220 | -278 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-120) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Moutet vs. Musetti picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Moutet | +300 |
| First Set | Musetti | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Moutet vs. Musetti updates and essential details
The ATP Barcelona Open match between Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Corentin Moutet vs. Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Barcelona, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Corentin Moutet at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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