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Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Altmaier vs Cerundolo predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Daniel Altmaier will square off with Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Juan Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Altmaier vs. Cerundolo match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Altmaier vs. Cerundolo prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Altmaier-Cerundolo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Cerundolo a 53% chance of winning against Altmaier at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Cerundolo has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Altmaier | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +115 | -137 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-116) | u22.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Altmaier vs. Cerundolo picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Altmaier | +115 |
| First Set | Cerundolo | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Altmaier vs. Cerundolo updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Daniel Altmaier and Juan Manuel Cerundolo is scheduled to start on Thursday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Juan Cerundolo, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Altmaier at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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