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Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Medvedev vs Marozsan predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Daniil Medvedev will take on Fabian Marozsan in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Marozsan match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Medvedev-Marozsan men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Medvedev a 59% chance of winning against Marozsan at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Medvedev has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -145 | +134 |
| First Set | -152 | +120 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-145) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-122) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Medvedev | -145 |
| First Set | Marozsan | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniil Medvedev to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Fabian Marozsan at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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