Daniil Medvedev vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Daniil Medvedev will face Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the round of 32 at the ATP Madrid event on Monday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Budkov Kjaer match.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Medvedev vs. Budkov Kjaer prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Medvedev-Budkov Kjaer men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 74% chance of defeating Budkov Kjaer at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Medvedev has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. Budkov Kjaer picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniil Medvedev to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Medvedev vs. Budkov Kjaer updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is scheduled to begin on Monday at 9:10 AM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
• Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:10 AM ET/6:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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