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Dayana Yastremska vs. Solana Sierra prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Yastremska vs Sierra predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Dayana Yastremska will square off with Solana Sierra in the round of 128 at the WTA Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Dayana Yastremska as the most likely winner of the Yastremska vs. Sierra match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Yastremska vs. Sierra prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Yastremska-Sierra women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Yastremska a 76% chance of beating Sierra at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Yastremska has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Yastremska (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Dayana Yastremska vs. Solana Sierra odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yastremska | Sierra |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -344 | +280 |
| First Set | -278 | +220 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-130) | +4.5 (-104) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-105) | u20.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yastremska vs. Sierra picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sierra | +280 |
| First Set | Sierra | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Solana Sierra to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yastremska vs. Sierra updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Dayana Yastremska and Solana Sierra is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Dayana Yastremska vs. Solana Sierra
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Dayana Yastremska, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Solana Sierra at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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