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Tigers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [3/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Detroit Tigers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Chase Field on Tuesday, starting at 9:40 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks will start Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 0.00 ERA), while the Tigers have opted for Casey Mize (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' refined MLB model gives the Diamondbacks a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Tigers vs. Diamondbacks matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB game between the Tigers and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Diamondbacks a 52% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks odds [3/31/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+154) | +1.5 (-167) |
| Moneyline | -108 | -108 |
| Total | o9.5 (+100) | u9.5 (-121) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Diamondbacks +1.5 | -167 |
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks | -108 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Tigers at Chase Field is scheduled to begin at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigers vs. Diamondbacks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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