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New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins prediction: Why Warriors are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 8 matchup [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins predictions for NRL Saturday.
The New Zealand Warriors will take on the Dolphins in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Wellington Regional Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:05 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Dolphins vs. Warriors game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Warriors vs. Dolphins prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Dolphins and Warriors, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Warriors a 64% chance of defeating the Dolphins.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Dolphins and Warriors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Dolphins vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +163 | -213 |
| Line (Spread) | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-120) |
| Total | o49.5 (-114) | u49.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins +5.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | bet_rivers_in+163 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 49.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Warriors and Dolphins at Wellington Regional Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05 AM ET.
- Who: Dolphins vs. New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 4:05 AM ET/1:05AM PT
- Venue: Wellington Regional Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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