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Read Article South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Dolphins prediction: Dolphins favored to win Friday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Dolphins predictions for NRL Friday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs and Dolphins will meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:05 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Dolphins prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL game between the Dolphins and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dolphins a 59% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.
According to our model, the Dolphins (-3.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
Dolphins vs. Souths odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dolphins | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -139 | +108 |
| Line (Spread) | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-115) |
| Total | o54.5 (-115) | u54.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins -3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | bet_rivers_in-139 |
| Total | Under 54.5 | -110 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 54.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league action between the Rabbitohs and Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:05 AM ET.
- Who: Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 6:05 AM ET/3:05AM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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