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Dusan Lajovic vs. Arthur Rinderknech prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Lajovic vs Rinderknech predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Dusan Lajovic and Arthur Rinderknech are scheduled to meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Arthur Rinderknech as the most likely winner of the Lajovic vs. Rinderknech match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Lajovic vs. Rinderknech prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Lajovic-Rinderknech men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Rinderknech a 57% chance of winning against Lajovic at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Rinderknech has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Lajovic (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Dusan Lajovic vs. Arthur Rinderknech odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lajovic | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +140 | -164 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-122) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-126) | u22.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lajovic vs. Rinderknech picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lajovic | +140 |
| First Set | Rinderknech | -126 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lajovic vs. Rinderknech updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Dusan Lajovic and Arthur Rinderknech is scheduled to start on Friday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Dusan Lajovic vs. Arthur Rinderknech
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Arthur Rinderknech, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Dusan Lajovic at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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