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Oilers vs. Kings prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Los Angeles Kings will take on the Edmonton Oilers, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Kings a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Oilers.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Oilers vs. Kings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Oilers and Kings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Kings a 51% chance of beating the Oilers.
According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Kings odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-235) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +102 | -118 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Oilers +1.5 | -235 |
| Moneyline | Oilers | +102 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Oilers vs. Kings player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Kings?
According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Kings.
Our projections give McDavid a 43.4% chance of scoring a goal at Crypto.com Arena, while the star is a 9.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 43.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 26.6% |
| Jack Roslovic | 24.6% |
| Matt Savoie | 22.3% |
| Evan Bouchard | 20.1% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 38.9% |
| Artemi Panarin | 36.4% |
| Quinton Byfield | 33.2% |
| Alex Laferriere | 29.7% |
| Trevor Moore | 24.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 9.5% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 5.2% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.3% |
| Matt Savoie | 3.8% |
| Evan Bouchard | 3.3% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 8.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 7.4% |
| Quinton Byfield | 6.7% |
| Alex Laferriere | 5.6% |
| Trevor Moore | 4.0% |
Oilers vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Kings and Oilers at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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