Oilers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Oilers vs. Penguins game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Oilers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Oilers and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 55% chance of beating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Oilers vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Oilers	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+170)	+1.5 (-196)
Moneyline	-142	+122
Total	o6.5 (-110)	u6.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Oilers vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-196
Moneyline	Penguins	+122
Total	Under 6.5	-108

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.

Oilers vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Draisaitl a 45.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 9.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	45.1%
Connor McDavid	39.0%
Zach Hyman	38.9%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	23.2%
Matt Savoie	17.4%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	39.3%
Bryan Rust	34.0%
Rickard Rakell	32.1%
Anthony Mantha	26.2%
Thomas Novak	21.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	First Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	9.8%
Zach Hyman	7.9%
Connor McDavid	7.9%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	4.0%
Matt Savoie	2.7%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	8.0%
Bryan Rust	6.5%
Rickard Rakell	6.0%
Anthony Mantha	4.4%
Thomas Novak	3.8%

Oilers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Penguins and Oilers at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Oilers, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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