Oilers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/13/2025]

The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Edmonton Oilers, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Oilers a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Maple Leafs.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Oilers vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Oilers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 52% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Oilers	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	-1.5 (+200)	+1.5 (-230)
Moneyline	-125	+110
Total	o6.5 (-102)	u6.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-230
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+110
Total	Under 6.5	-118

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 43.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	42.5%
Connor McDavid	37.7%
Zach Hyman	36.5%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	22.4%
Evan Bouchard	16.5%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	43.0%
John Tavares	36.1%
William Nylander	35.3%
Matthew Knies	30.0%
Easton Cowan	15.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	First Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	8.8%
Connor McDavid	7.2%
Zach Hyman	7.2%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	3.8%
Andrew Mangiapane	3.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	8.9%
John Tavares	7.2%
William Nylander	6.7%
Matthew Knies	5.0%
Nicholas Robertson	2.7%

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Maple Leafs and Oilers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Oilers, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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