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Read Article Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Svitolina vs Baptiste predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Elina Svitolina and Hailey Baptiste will meet in the round of 32 of the WTA Italian Open event on Sunday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Elina Svitolina as the most likely winner of the Svitolina vs. Baptiste match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Svitolina vs. Baptiste prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Svitolina-Baptiste women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Svitolina a 69% chance of winning against Baptiste at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Svitolina has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baptiste (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Svitolina | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -228 | +205 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (+100) | +4.5 (-160) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Svitolina vs. Baptiste picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Svitolina | -228 |
| First Set | Baptiste | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Svitolina vs. Baptiste updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Elina Svitolina and Hailey Baptiste is scheduled to start on Sunday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Elina Svitolina, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Hailey Baptiste at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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