Elina Svitolina vs. Nikola Bartunkova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Svitolina vs Bartunkova predictions for WTA Italian Open.

Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkova Tennis Prediction.
Our Elina Svitolina and Nikola Bartunkova tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Elina Svitolina and Nikola Bartunkova will lock horns in the round of 16 of the WTA Italian Open event on Monday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elina Svitolina as the most likely winner of the Svitolina vs. Bartunkova match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Svitolina vs. Bartunkova prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Svitolina-Bartunkova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Svitolina an 83% chance of winning against Bartunkova at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Svitolina has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bartunkova (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Elina Svitolina vs. Nikola Bartunkova odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Svitolina Bartunkova
Moneyline -658 +490
First Set -455 +333
Game Spread -5.5 (-132) +5.5 (-102)
Total Games o19.5 (+100) u19.5 (-138)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Svitolina vs. Bartunkova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Bartunkova +490
First Set Bartunkova +100

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Svitolina vs. Bartunkova updates and essential details

The WTA Italian Open match between Elina Svitolina and Nikola Bartunkova is scheduled to start on Monday at 9:20 AM ET.

  • Who: Elina Svitolina vs. Nikola Bartunkova
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 9:20 AM ET/6:20AM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elina Svitolina, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Nikola Bartunkova at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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