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Everton vs. Burnley prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/3/2026]
Get Everton vs Burnley predictions for Premier League Tuesday.

Everton and Burnley will lock horns in the Premier League at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Tuesday, with kickoff at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Everton as the most likely winner of the Everton vs. Burnley game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Everton vs. Burnley prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Premier League match between Everton and Burnley 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 62.2% chance of Everton winning, a 16.0% chance for Burnley, and a 21.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Everton vs. Burnley odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Everton | Burnley | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -170 | +500 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -108 | -112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Everton vs. Burnley picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +500 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -108 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Everton vs. Burnley: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Everton win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| EVE 1-0 BUR | 12.4% |
| EVE 2-0 BUR | 11.7% |
| EVE 1-1 BUR | 10.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 51.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
Everton vs. Burnley game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's Premier League matchup between Everton and Burnley at Hill Dickinson Stadium is scheduled to start in the USA at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Everton vs. Burnley
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Everton has a 62.2% win probability on Tuesday, Burnley has a 16.0% win probability, and there is a 21.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Everton vs. Burnley insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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