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Everton vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Everton vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Monday.
Everton will take on Manchester City in Premier League action at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Everton vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Everton vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Premier League match between Everton and Manchester City, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 16.3% chance of Everton winning, a 63.4% chance for Manchester City, and a 20.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Everton vs. Manchester City odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Everton | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +550 | -200 | +370 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Everton vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton | +550 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +130 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Everton to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Everton vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Manchester City win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| EVE 0-2 MCI | 10.5% |
| EVE 0-1 MCI | 10.2% |
| EVE 1-2 MCI | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Everton vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League action between Everton and Manchester City at Hill Dickinson Stadium is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Everton vs. Manchester City
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Everton has a 16.3% win probability on Monday, Manchester City has a 63.4% win probability, and there is a 20.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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