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FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get FC Dallas vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Dallas will face Minnesota in MLS action at Toyota Stadium on Wednesday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner of the Dallas vs. Minnesota game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Dallas and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 50.7% chance of Dallas winning, a 26.3% chance for Minnesota, and a 23.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Dallas | Minnesota | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +240 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -185 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas | +100 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dallas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DAL 1-1 MIN | 10.6% |
| DAL 2-1 MIN | 9.6% |
| DAL 1-0 MIN | 8.5% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between Dallas and Minnesota in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Jesús Ferreira (USA)
Dallas forward Jesús Ferreira is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans at the moment as anticipation ramps up as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament already driving interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Ferreira's MLS form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Dallas has a 50.7% win probability on Wednesday, Minnesota has a 26.3% win probability, and there is a 23.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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