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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner prediction, odds, picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Auger-Aliassime vs Sinner predictions for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters.
Felix Auger-Aliassime will square off with Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals at the ATP Monte Carlo event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Auger-Aliassime-Sinner men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Sinner an 84% chance of beating Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additionally, Sinner has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sinner (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 19.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +600 | -1099 |
| First Set | +400 | -625 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-112) | -5.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-105) | u19.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | +600 |
| First Set | Sinner | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner updates and essential details
The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner is scheduled to begin on Friday at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jannik Sinner, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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