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Panthers vs. Flames prediction: Why Florida is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Friday.
The Calgary Flames will take on the Florida Panthers, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Scotiabank Saddledome on Friday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Panthers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Flames.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Panthers vs. Flames matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Panthers vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NHL game between the Panthers and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 51% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 72% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Panthers vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-245) | -1.5 (+215) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | o5.5 (-128) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Panthers vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Panthers +1.5 | -245 |
| Moneyline | Panthers | -102 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Panthers vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Flames?
According to our model, Matthew Tkachuk is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Flames.
Our projections give Tkachuk a 39.5% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 39.5% |
| Sam Bennett | 34.9% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 31.7% |
| Evan Rodrigues | 22.6% |
| Cole Reinhardt | 20.2% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 25.4% |
| Morgan Frost | 23.7% |
| Matthew Coronato | 23.1% |
| Victor Olofsson | 22.9% |
| Blake Coleman | 20.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 8.4% |
| Sam Bennett | 7.3% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 6.0% |
| Evan Rodrigues | 4.4% |
| Cole Reinhardt | 3.9% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.6% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.5% |
| Morgan Frost | 4.3% |
| Victor Olofsson | 4.1% |
| Blake Coleman | 3.5% |
Panthers vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Flames and Panthers at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Panthers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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