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Panthers vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [12/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Monday.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers will lock horns in the NHL at Benchmark International Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Lightning a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Panthers.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Panthers vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Panthers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Panthers.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Panthers vs. Lightning odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-235) | -1.5 (+200) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -118 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Panthers vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +200 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -118 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning to win.
Panthers vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 39.0% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 36.7% |
| Brad Marchand | 33.1% |
| Sam Bennett | 29.7% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 25.4% |
| Anton Lundell | 20.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 39.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.2% |
| Brandon Hagel | 33.5% |
| Brayden Point | 32.9% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 24.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 8.0% |
| Brad Marchand | 6.7% |
| Sam Bennett | 5.8% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 4.7% |
| Evan Rodrigues | 3.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.1% |
| Brayden Point | 6.4% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.1% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 4.5% |
Panthers vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Lightning and Panthers at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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