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Francesca Jones vs. Jessica Pegula prediction, odds, picks for WTA Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Jones vs Pegula predictions for WTA Miami Open.
Francesca Jones will square off with Jessica Pegula in the round of 64 at the WTA Miami event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Jones vs. Pegula match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Jones vs. Pegula prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Jones-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Pegula a 92% chance of defeating Jones at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Pegula has an 87% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pegula (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 17.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Francesca Jones vs. Jessica Pegula odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jones | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +1400 | -2222 |
| First Set | +600 | -1000 |
| Game Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o17.5 (-132) | u17.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jones vs. Pegula picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jones | +1400 |
| First Set | Pegula | -102 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 17.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jones vs. Pegula updates and essential details
The WTA Miami Open match between Francesca Jones and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to start on Friday at 7:50 PM ET.
- Who: Francesca Jones vs. Jessica Pegula
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:50 PM ET/4:50PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Miami, USA Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jessica Pegula, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Francesca Jones at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jones vs. Pegula insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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